Abstract
This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 416-447 |
Number of pages | 32 |
Journal | Contemporary Economic Policy |
Volume | 42 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Jul 2024 |
Scopus Subject Areas
- General Business, Management and Accounting
- Economics and Econometrics
- Public Administration
Keywords
- European monetary union
- bond market
- fiscal stance
- sovereign debt crisis
- treatment effects