Does membership of the EMU matter for economic and financial outcomes?

Omid M. Ardakani, N. Kundan Kishor, Suyong Song

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)416-447
Number of pages32
JournalContemporary Economic Policy
Volume42
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2024

Scopus Subject Areas

  • General Business, Management and Accounting
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Public Administration

Keywords

  • European monetary union
  • bond market
  • fiscal stance
  • sovereign debt crisis
  • treatment effects

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