Monte Carlo simulation of sudden death bearing testing

Brian L. Vlcek, Robert C. Hendricks, Erwin V. Zaretsky

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

16 Scopus citations

Abstract

Monte Carlo simulations combined with sudden death testing were used to compare resultant bearing lives to the calculated bearing life and the cumulative test time and calendar time relative to sequential and censored sequential testing. A total of 30,960 virtual 50-mm bore deep-groove ball bearings were evaluated in 33 different sudden death test configurations comprising 36, 72, and 144 bearings each. Variations in both life and Weibull slope were a function of the number of bearings failed independent of the test method used and not the total number of bearings tested. Variations in L10 life as a function of number of bearings failed were similar to variations in life obtained from sequentially failed real bearings and from Monte Carlo (virtual) testing of entire populations. Reductions up to 40% in bearing test time and calendar time can be achieved by testing to failure or the L50 life and terminating all testing when the last of the predetermined bearing failures has occurred. Sudden death testing is not a more efficient method to reduce bearing test time or calendar time when compared to censored sequential testing.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)188-199
Number of pages12
JournalTribology Transactions
Volume47
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2004

Keywords

  • Computer simulation
  • Life prediction
  • Monte Carlo analysis
  • Rolling-element bearings
  • Sudden death testing
  • Weibull analysis

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