Abstract
Earthquakes pose a significant threat to urban areas, necessitating accurate forecasting models to mitigate their impact. This study focuses on earthquake forecasting in Los Angeles, a region with high seismic activity and limited research. We established a feature matrix for forecasting earthquakes within a 30-day period by analyzing the most predictive patterns from recent studies. Our model developed a subset of features capable of forecasting the highest magnitude of an earthquake. Using advanced machine learning algorithms and neural networks, our model achieved an accuracy of 69.14% in forecasting the maximum magnitude earthquake as one of the 6 categories. We aim to provide a useful guideline for future researchers.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 108673-108702 |
Number of pages | 30 |
Journal | IEEE Access |
Volume | 12 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 2024 |
Keywords
- Earthquake forecasting
- Los Angeles
- XGBoost
- feature engineering
- machine learning
- neural networks
- predictive modeling
- random forest
- seismic activity
- seismic energy
- spatiotemporal analysis