Predictive Modeling of Earthquakes in Los Angeles With Machine Learning and Neural Networks

Cemil Emre Yavas, Lei Chen, Christopher Kadlec, Yiming Ji

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Earthquakes pose a significant threat to urban areas, necessitating accurate forecasting models to mitigate their impact. This study focuses on earthquake forecasting in Los Angeles, a region with high seismic activity and limited research. We established a feature matrix for forecasting earthquakes within a 30-day period by analyzing the most predictive patterns from recent studies. Our model developed a subset of features capable of forecasting the highest magnitude of an earthquake. Using advanced machine learning algorithms and neural networks, our model achieved an accuracy of 69.14% in forecasting the maximum magnitude earthquake as one of the 6 categories. We aim to provide a useful guideline for future researchers.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)108673-108702
Number of pages30
JournalIEEE Access
Volume12
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024

Keywords

  • Earthquake forecasting
  • Los Angeles
  • XGBoost
  • feature engineering
  • machine learning
  • neural networks
  • predictive modeling
  • random forest
  • seismic activity
  • seismic energy
  • spatiotemporal analysis

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