Stochastic modeling of security returns: Evidence from the Helsinki Stock Exchange

G. Geoffrey Booth, John Hatem, Ilkka Virtanen, Paavo Yli-Olli

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

29 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper documents the presence of linear and nonlinear dependencies in Finnish stock returns and models these dependencies using autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic methods. Three conditional distributions (normal, Student-t, and the power exponential) are explored. The statistical estimates and the corresponding diagnostic tests indicate that a GARCH (1, 1) model with a power exponential conditional distribution, which is characterized by an autoregressive mean, represents the data better than any of the other models examined.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)98-106
Number of pages9
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume56
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 10 1992

Scopus Subject Areas

  • General Computer Science
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Information Systems and Management

Keywords

  • GARCH
  • Time series
  • distributions
  • finance
  • stochastic

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