TY - JOUR
T1 - Unraveling dengue dynamics with data calibration from Palu and Jakarta
T2 - Optimizing active surveillance and fogging interventions
AU - Aldila, Dipo
AU - Chávez, Joseph Páez
AU - Chukwu, Chidozie W.
AU - Fathiyah, Athaya Yumna
AU - Puspita, Juni Wijayanti
AU - Setio, Kartika A.Dimar
AU - Fuady, Ahmad
AU - Kamalia, Putri Zahra
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2024/12
Y1 - 2024/12
N2 - Dengue fever is a complex infectious disease driven by multiple factors, including viral dynamics, mosquito behavior, environmental conditions, and human behaviors. The intricate nature of its transmission and outbreaks necessitates an interdisciplinary approach, integrating expertise from fields such as mathematics and public health. In this research, we examine the role of active case finding and mosquito population reduction through fogging in dengue control using a mathematical model approach. Active case finding aims to identify undetected dengue cases, both asymptomatic and symptomatic, which can help prevent further transmission and reduce the likelihood of severe symptoms by enabling earlier treatment. The model was developed using a system of nine-dimensional nonlinear ordinary differential equations. We conducted a mathematical analysis of the equilibria and their stability based on the basic reproduction number (R0). Our analysis shows that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R0
AB - Dengue fever is a complex infectious disease driven by multiple factors, including viral dynamics, mosquito behavior, environmental conditions, and human behaviors. The intricate nature of its transmission and outbreaks necessitates an interdisciplinary approach, integrating expertise from fields such as mathematics and public health. In this research, we examine the role of active case finding and mosquito population reduction through fogging in dengue control using a mathematical model approach. Active case finding aims to identify undetected dengue cases, both asymptomatic and symptomatic, which can help prevent further transmission and reduce the likelihood of severe symptoms by enabling earlier treatment. The model was developed using a system of nine-dimensional nonlinear ordinary differential equations. We conducted a mathematical analysis of the equilibria and their stability based on the basic reproduction number (R0). Our analysis shows that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R0
KW - Active surveillance
KW - Backward bifurcation
KW - Data calibration
KW - Dengue
KW - Time-dependent fogging
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85208664787
UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077924012815?via%3Dihub
U2 - 10.1016/j.chaos.2024.115729
DO - 10.1016/j.chaos.2024.115729
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85208664787
SN - 0960-0779
VL - 189
JO - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
JF - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
M1 - 115729
ER -